Authors: Mohammad E. Nikoofal, Mehmet Gumus

Publication: Production and Operations Management, Forthcoming

Abstract:

This paper develops a dyadic supply chain model with one buyer who contracts the manufacturing of a new product to a supplier. Due to the lack of experience in manufacturing, the extent of supply risk is unknown to both the buyer and supplier before the time of contract. However, after the contract is accepted, the supplier may invest in a diagnostic test to acquire information about his true reliability, and use this information when deciding on a process improvement effort. Using this setting, we identify both operational and strategic benefits and costs of diagnostic test. Operationally, it helps the supplier to take the first-best level of improvement effort, which would increase efficiency of the total supply chain. Strategically, it enables the buyer to reduce the agency costs associated with implementing process improvement on the supplier. Besides these benefits, diagnostic test increases the degree of information asymmetry along the supply chain. This in turn provides the supplier with proprietary information, whose rent would be demanded from the buyer in equilibrium. Benefit-cost analysis reveals two key factors in determining the value of diagnostic test: (i) degree of endogenous information asymmetry between supply chain firms, and (ii) the relative cost of diagnostic test with respect to process improvement cost. Our results indicate that when both are high, the mere presence of diagnostic test can result in less reliable supply chain. This implies that when incentives are not properly aligned, information asymmetry amplified due to diagnostic test neutralizes all its benefits.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management, Desautels 22, Production & Operations Management
Category:
Published on: 23 Jul 2018

Authors: Manaf Zargoush, Mehmet Gumus, Vedat Verter, Stella Daskalopoulou

Journal Name: Production and Operations Management, Forthcoming

Abstract:

Hypertension has not been well studied by operations researchers from a clinical decision support perspective. Moreover, little personalized (i.e. patient-centric) guidance is available regarding the number and combination of antihypertensive medications. To fill this gap, we develop a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to characterize the optimal sequence (and combination) of antihypertensive medications under the standard medication dose. Our model is patient-centric as it takes into account a set of relevant patient characteristics such as age, gender, blood pressure level, smoking habits, diabetes status, and cholesterol level. Based on a set of intuitive assumptions, we prove that our model yields a series of structured optimal policies. Having calibrated our model based on real data and medical literature, we analyze these optimal policies and discuss their insights to the real practice. We also compare the benefits, in terms of quality adjusted life expectancy, QALE, obtained from our results with those obtained from British Hypertension Society (BHS) guideline.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management, Production & Operations Management, Desautels 22
Category:
Published on: 20 Mar 2018

According to the Globe and Mail, times are good for UK-based bath-bomb producer Lush. Right now, all of its North American stores are supplied from two Canadian production centres, but as business picks up in the southern US, the company is looking at opening a US factory to supply that market; since Lush is all about sustainable, preservative-free products, it needs a production facility to be near a given area’s retailers.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Published on: 28 Jun 2017

Authors: Mohammad E. Nikoofal, Mehmet Gümüş

Publication: Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, Forthcoming

Abstract:

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Category:
Published on: 11 May 2017

Lush’s North American factories in Vancouver and Etobicoke are putting out bath bombs at a frenetic pace to keep up with the demands of the rapidly-growing company — and the extremely short turnaround that a preservative-free product line entails. But as the company and the wider organic and Fairtrade industries grow, they put increased strain on suppliers and growers.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Published on: 24 Mar 2017

CablePlan Plannica reduces the planning cycle from days to minutes. It enhances and improves the decision making of production planners. CablePlan reduces the manual workload and releases the decision makers’ valuable time, enabling them to regain responsiveness and flexibility in the planning cycle.  CablePlan enables planners to increase their planning horizon, enables smarter optimization and allows planning considering multiple objectives.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus
Published on: 19 Apr 2016

AuthorsGümüş, M.,  Gurnani, H., and Ray, S.  

PublicationManagement Science

Classified as: Saibal Ray, Mehmet Gumus, operations management, management science
Category:
Published on: 23 Nov 2015

Authors: Gumus, M., Kaminsky, P., and Mathur, S.

Publication: International Journal of Production Research

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Category:
Published on: 30 Oct 2015
Authors: Nie, X., Boyacı, T., Gümüş, M., Ray, S., Zhang, D.
Publication: Annals of Operations Research

Abstract

Classified as: Saibal Ray, Tamer Boyaci, Mehmet Gumus
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Published on: 10 Apr 2015

Authors: Xiao Huang, Tamer Boyaci, Mehmet Gumus, Saibal Ray and Dan Zhang

Publication: Management Science 

Abstract:

Classified as: Saibal Ray, Tamer Boyaci, Mehmet Gumus, management science
Category:
Published on: 6 Feb 2015

Governments that fail to account for analysis of terrorists' personal information in allocating their defence budgets risk increased damage from terrorist attacks, new research from the Desautels Faculty of Management finds.
... Professor Mehmet Gumus and his PhD student Dr. Nikoofal find that there are two types of terrorists; either organised or unorganised. Organised terrorists observe the behaviours of governments and defence measures in place before they carry out an attack, while unorganised terrorists act without such planning.

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, defence
Published on: 20 Jan 2015

Industry leaders have been reacting to the news that the US Congress has voted overwhelmingly in favor or reauthorizing the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act for six years. The vote stalled before Christmas after a senator objected but passed through both houses of Congress on Wednesday.
... Meanwhile an academic has warned that policies on protecting locations need to be more flexible. Professor Mehmet Gumus of Desautels Faculty of Management says that governments need to allow funds for analysis of terrorists’ behaviours.

Classified as: Research, Mehmet Gumus
Published on: 20 Jan 2015

Authors: Mohammad E. Nikoofal & Mehmet Gumus

Publication: IIE Transactions

Abstract:

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus
Category:
Published on: 7 Nov 2014

Author: Mehmet Gumus

Publication: Production and Operations Management

Abstract:

Classified as: Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Category:
Published on: 20 Nov 2013

Authors: Gumus, Mehmet; Ray, Saibal; Yin, Shuya

Publication: Marketing Science

Abstract:

Classified as: Saibal Ray, Mehmet Gumus, operations management
Category:
Published on: 27 Aug 2013

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